An Introduction to Reduced-Form Credit Risk Models

There are two main families of default models. Structural models, such as the Merton model based on the firm鈥檚 assets and liabilities and reduced-form models focusing directly on the timing of default. We will give here an introduction to reduced-form credit risk models. Default Time Modelling In reduced-form or intensity-based models, the default time 饾洉 […]

Credit Risk Modelling: the Default Time Distribution

We will focus here on the default time distribution. We will see the relationship between the cumulative and the marginal default rates and how these two probabilities change with time depending on the credit quality of the borrower. Default Event and Default Time A default event refers to a situation where a borrower fails to […]

Credit Risk Modelling: the Probability of Default

We will focus here on the probability of default, one of the key measure of credit risk, introducing different ways to measure it. What is the Probability of Default? The probability of default is the likelihood that a borrower, which can be an individual, a corporate or a government fails to meet its debt obligations […]

Credit Risk: an Introduction

We will give an introduction to credit risk, presenting the main types of credit risk, the key components and measures of credit risk, discussing the different factors influencing it and ways to manage it. Credit Risk: What is it? Credit risk refers to the potential that a borrower or counterparty will fail to meet its […]